SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Lviv win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rukh Lviv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rukh Lviv | Draw | Inhulets |
41.76% ( 0.35) | 26.98% ( -0.06) | 31.27% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 49.99% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.91% ( 0.13) | 55.09% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.66% ( 0.1) | 76.34% ( -0.1) |
| Rukh Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.97% ( 0.24) | 26.03% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.94% ( 0.33) | 61.06% ( -0.33) |
| Inhulets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.58% ( -0.14) | 32.42% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.07% ( -0.16) | 68.93% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rukh Lviv | Draw | Inhulets |
| 1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.22% Total : 41.75% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.27% |
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