SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inhulets win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inhulets win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Inhulets |
34.36% ( 0.2) | 26.82% ( -0) | 38.81% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 51.32% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.21% ( 0.05) | 53.79% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.74% ( 0.04) | 75.26% ( -0.04) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% ( 0.15) | 29.68% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.27% ( 0.19) | 65.73% ( -0.18) |
| Inhulets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.98% ( -0.08) | 27.02% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.62% ( -0.11) | 62.38% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Inhulets |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.36% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.81% |
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