SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Lviv win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 22.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rukh Lviv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rukh Lviv | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
54.01% ( 0.45) | 23.2% ( -0.14) | 22.79% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 55.09% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.8% ( 0.26) | 45.2% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.46% ( 0.25) | 67.54% ( -0.25) |
| Rukh Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.34% ( 0.26) | 16.66% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.49% ( 0.46) | 46.52% ( -0.45) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.1% ( -0.13) | 33.9% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.43% ( -0.15) | 70.57% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rukh Lviv | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.14% Total : 54.01% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.19% | 0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.22% Total : 22.79% |
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