SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Rukh Lviv win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rukh Lviv | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
33.75% ( -0.08) | 26.29% ( -0.01) | 39.96% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.91% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.29% ( 0.02) | 51.7% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.52% ( 0.02) | 73.48% ( -0.02) |
| Rukh Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.96% ( -0.04) | 29.04% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.05% ( -0.05) | 64.95% ( 0.05) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.56% ( 0.06) | 25.43% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.74% ( 0.08) | 60.25% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rukh Lviv | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.75% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0)3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.96% |
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