Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Vynnyky win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Vynnyky win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
