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Europa League | Semi-Finals
Aug 17, 2020 at 8pm UK
Merkur Spiel-Arena
SD

Inter Milan
5 - 0
Shakhtar

Martinez (19', 74'), D'Ambrosio (64'), Lukaku (78', 84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Taison (58')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawShakhtar Donetsk
47.66%25.21%27.13%
Both teams to score 53.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50%50%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02%71.98%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79%21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.23%53.77%
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.15%32.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.58%69.41%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 47.66%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 27.13%
    Draw 25.21%
Inter MilanDrawShakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 10.76%
2-1 @ 9.35%
2-0 @ 8.4%
3-1 @ 4.87%
3-0 @ 4.37%
3-2 @ 2.71%
4-1 @ 1.9%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 47.66%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.9%
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.68%
1-2 @ 6.67%
0-2 @ 4.28%
1-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.13%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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