Luhansk
2 - 2
Shakhtar

Kochergin (20'), Yurchenko (28' pen.)
Favorov (73'), Grechkin (81'), Kochergin (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Marlos (17'), Krivtsov (49')
Dodo (29'), Marlos (30'), Krivtsov (44'), Stepanenko (57')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
41.14%	25.28%	33.58%

Both teams to score 56.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.6%

47.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.38%

69.61%

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.09%

22.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.33%

56.66%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.94%

27.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.58%

62.42%

Score Analysis

Zorya Luhansk 41.14%

Shakhtar Donetsk 33.58%

Draw 25.28%

Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 9.13% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 4.32% 3-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.14%	1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 8.1% 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 5.3% 1-3 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.58%