Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.