Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 66.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 13.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.