Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.