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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 26, 2020 at 3pm UK
Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butov'skogo

Vorskla
0 - 0
Mariupol


Sklyar (49'), Puclin (90+2')
FT

Bykov (16'), Galchuk (21'), Topalov (53'), Peterman (90+4')
Peterman (90+6')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Vorskla Poltava and Mariupol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Vorskla PoltavaDrawMariupol
45.12%25.34%29.54%
Both teams to score 54.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.85%49.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.78%71.22%
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.22%21.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.03%54.97%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.41%30.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17%66.83%
Score Analysis
    Vorskla Poltava 45.11%
    Mariupol 29.54%
    Draw 25.33%
Vorskla PoltavaDrawMariupol
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 7.74%
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-0 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 45.11%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.66%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.89%
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 4.67%
1-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 29.54%


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