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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 3
Sep 18, 2020 at 5pm UK
Dnipro Arena

Dnipro-1
1 - 2
Mariupol

Khoblenko (60')
Dubinchak (29'), Svatok (32'), Kravchenko (53'), Di Franco (58'), Vakulko (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bondarenko (26'), Sagutkin (78')
Topalov (43'), Sagutkin (55')
Sagutkin (90+6')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Dnipro-1 and Mariupol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 19.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Mariupol win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Dnipro-1DrawMariupol
58.02%22.35%19.62%
Both teams to score 53.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.52%45.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.18%67.81%
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.62%15.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.82%44.18%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.84%37.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.06%73.94%
Score Analysis
    Dnipro-1 58.01%
    Mariupol 19.62%
    Draw 22.35%
Dnipro-1DrawMariupol
1-0 @ 10.69%
2-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 6.25%
3-1 @ 6.19%
3-2 @ 3.06%
4-0 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 2.9%
4-2 @ 1.43%
5-0 @ 1.1%
5-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 58.01%
1-1 @ 10.59%
0-0 @ 5.72%
2-2 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.35%
0-1 @ 5.66%
1-2 @ 5.24%
0-2 @ 2.8%
1-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 19.62%


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