Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 19.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Mariupol win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.