Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mariupol win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mariupol win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%).