Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Zorya Luhansk in this match.