Mariupol
3 - 4
Luhansk

Kulakov (47'), Svityukha (79'), Mykytyshyn (89')
Klymenko (41'), Mampasi (44'), Shostak (50'), Myshnyov (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Nazaryna (22'), Zahedi (28', 60'), Hladkyy (32')
Khomchenovskiy (27'), Kabaiev (66'), Cvek (78'), Lunyov (82'), Owusu (90+3'), Matsapura (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Zorya Luhansk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 57.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 19.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Mariupol win it was 1-0 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Mariupol	Draw	Zorya Luhansk
19.89%	22.65%	57.45%

Both teams to score 52.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.6%

46.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.31%

68.69%

Mariupol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.59%

37.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.81%

74.19%

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.11%

15.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.88%

45.12%

Score Analysis

Mariupol 19.89%

Zorya Luhansk 57.44%

Draw 22.65%

Mariupol	Draw	Zorya Luhansk
1-0 @ 5.85% 2-1 @ 5.29% 2-0 @ 2.87% 3-1 @ 1.73% 3-2 @ 1.59% 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.62% Total : 19.89%	1-1 @ 10.75% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 4.86% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.65%	0-1 @ 10.93% 0-2 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-3 @ 6.17% 1-3 @ 6.06% 2-3 @ 2.98% 0-4 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 2.79% 2-4 @ 1.37% 0-5 @ 1.04% 1-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.3% Total : 57.44%