Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.