Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.