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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Aug 14, 2020 at 7pm UK
Parque Cincuentenario Juan Gaspar Prandi
D

Plaza Colonia
2 - 0
Defensor

Fernandez (39', 67')
Fernandez (49'), Dibble (67'), Kidd (81'), Calleros (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alvarez (29'), Cardacio (35'), Coelho (83'), Rojo (90+5')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Plaza Colonia and Defensor Sporting.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Plaza ColoniaDrawDefensor Sporting
34.01%27.33%38.66%
Both teams to score 49.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18%55.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.05%76.95%
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.08%30.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.79%67.21%
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93%28.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.26%63.73%
Score Analysis
    Plaza Colonia 34%
    Defensor Sporting 38.66%
    Draw 27.32%
Plaza ColoniaDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 5.98%
3-1 @ 2.97%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 34%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 8.68%
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 11.02%
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-2 @ 7.01%
1-3 @ 3.48%
0-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 1.11%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 38.66%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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