Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.