SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 35.84% | 25.63% | 38.53% |
| Both teams to score 55.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.43% | 48.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.31% | 70.69% |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% | 26.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.62% | 61.38% |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% | 24.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.66% | 59.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 8.7% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 5.81% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.28% Total : 35.84% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.51% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 9.08% 1-2 @ 8.47% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 3.94% 0-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.03% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.53% |
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