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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Sep 6, 2020 at 9.15pm UK
Estadio Domingo Burgueno

Maldonado
1 - 0
Progreso

Muniz (71')
Tealde (45+1'), Lerda (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lew (23'), Moreira (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawProgreso
30.94%26.97%42.09%
Both teams to score 49.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.84%55.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.6%76.4%
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.32%32.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.77%69.23%
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12%25.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.13%60.87%
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Maldonado 30.94%
    Progreso 42.09%
    Draw 26.96%
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawProgreso
1-0 @ 9.46%
2-1 @ 7.15%
2-0 @ 5.29%
3-1 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 1.97%
3-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 30.94%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.46%
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 11.43%
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-2 @ 7.73%
1-3 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.09%


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