Maldonado
2 - 0
Penarol

Cantera (74'), Muniz (77')
Pagano (18'), Gonzalez (20'), Pagano (30'), Muniz (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Acosta (7'), Bravo (36')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.16%) and 1-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo Maldonado	Draw	Penarol
29.86%	28.72%	41.42%

Both teams to score 44.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.28%

61.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.47%

81.53%

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.02%

36.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.23%

73.77%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.65%

29.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.67%

65.33%

Score Analysis

Deportivo Maldonado 29.85%

Penarol 41.41%

Draw 28.71%

Deportivo Maldonado	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 6.58% 2-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.81% Total : 29.85%	1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.71%	0-1 @ 13.3% 0-2 @ 8.16% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-3 @ 3.33% 1-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.02% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.51% Total : 41.41%