Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.