Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Cerro win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Liverpool in this match.