Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Birmingham Legion had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Birmingham Legion win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Miami in this match.
Result | ||
Birmingham Legion | Draw | Inter Miami |
36.93% ( 0.17) | 25.83% ( -0.02) | 37.23% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 54.81% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.56% ( 0.09) | 49.44% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.52% ( 0.08) | 71.48% ( -0.08) |
Birmingham Legion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.95% ( 0.14) | 26.05% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.91% ( 0.19) | 61.09% ( -0.19) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.12% ( -0.04) | 25.88% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.14% ( -0.06) | 60.86% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham Legion | Draw | Inter Miami |
1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.93% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.23% |
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