As bad as the Herons have been in MLS of late, Birmingham have been equally inconsistent and poor in the USL Championship, and players like Leonardo Campana and Josef Martinez have a lot more quality than most who feature in the second-tier of American soccer.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Birmingham Legion had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Birmingham Legion win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Miami in this match.
0.17) 
-0.02) 
