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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | New England Revolution |
44.15% ( 3.62) | 24.56% ( -0.23) | 31.29% ( -3.39) |
| Both teams to score 57.83% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.06% ( 0.04) | 44.94% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.71% ( 0.03) | 67.29% ( -0.03) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.54% ( 1.69) | 20.46% ( -1.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.08% ( 2.62) | 52.92% ( -2.62) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% ( -2.05) | 27.29% ( 2.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.27% ( -2.74) | 62.73% ( 2.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.43)2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.68)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.44)3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.53)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.26)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.27)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.15% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.52) 0-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.45)0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.59)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.43)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.39)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.98% Total : 31.29% |
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