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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for DC United had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | DC United |
40.79% ( -1.55) | 26.22% ( 0.34) | 32.98% ( 1.21) |
| Both teams to score 52.93% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.4% ( -1.06) | 51.59% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.61% ( -0.93) | 73.38% ( 0.92) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% ( -1.26) | 24.94% ( 1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.42% ( -1.78) | 59.58% ( 1.77) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( 0.28) | 29.48% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.51% ( 0.34) | 65.49% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.57% Total : 40.79% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.98% |
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