Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
35.15% ( -0.13) | 26.81% ( 0.03) | 38.03% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 51.45% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.33% ( -0.12) | 53.66% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.84% ( -0.1) | 75.16% ( 0.1) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.87% ( -0.14) | 29.12% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.95% ( -0.17) | 65.05% ( 0.17) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.59% ( 0) | 27.41% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.11% ( 0) | 62.88% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.15% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 38.03% |
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