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Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2023 at 1.15am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
NY

Inter Miami
0 - 1
NY Red Bulls


Miller (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Barlow (52')
Duncan (8'), Lesesne (9'), Harper (61'), Reyes (70')
Harper (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 1-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, May 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 28 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 New York Red Bulls

Inter Miami may be propping up the Eastern Conference, but with four wins from their last five competitive home games, they will be hoping to make home advantage count on Wednesday. The visitors, meanwhile, are searching for their first away win in MLS since beating Montreal in September, and we think that their struggles on the road could play into the hands of Inter Miami.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawNew York Red Bulls
35.15% (-0.13 -0.13) 26.81% (0.026 0.03) 38.03% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 51.45% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.33% (-0.12 -0.12)53.66% (0.116 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (-0.101 -0.1)75.16% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)29.12% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)65.05% (0.167 0.17)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.41% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.11% (0.0019999999999953 0)62.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 35.15%
    New York Red Bulls 38.03%
    Draw 26.81%
Inter MiamiDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 35.15%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.98% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 10.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.69% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.88% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 38.03%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Montreal 1-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, May 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, May 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-1 Inter Miami
Thursday, May 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 New England
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 28 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-0 NY City
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, April 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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