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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Oct 3, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue

Aberystwyth
1 - 2
Barry

Davies (49')
(66'), (90+1'), (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McLaggon (67'), Cotterill (70')
(49')
Green (61')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Barry Town United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barry Town United in this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawBarry Town United
36.66%24.87%38.46%
Both teams to score 58.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.91%45.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.57%67.43%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81%24.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48%58.51%
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77%23.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.86%57.14%
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 36.66%
    Barry Town United 38.46%
    Draw 24.87%
Aberystwyth TownDrawBarry Town United
2-1 @ 8.26%
1-0 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 5.66%
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 2.85%
3-0 @ 2.68%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 1.01%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 36.66%
1-1 @ 11.64%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.87%
1-2 @ 8.5%
0-1 @ 8.2%
0-2 @ 5.99%
1-3 @ 4.13%
2-3 @ 2.93%
0-3 @ 2.91%
1-4 @ 1.51%
2-4 @ 1.07%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 38.46%


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