Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 56.24%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 22.64% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 1-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
