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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Dec 12, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
4 - 1
Cardiff MU

Evans (5'), Kay (30'), Venables (44', 66')
Leslie (19'), Pryce (73')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Evans (49')
Evans (61')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Cardiff MU.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 53.8%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala TownDrawCardiff MU
53.8%22.82%23.38%
Both teams to score 57.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.12%42.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.72%65.28%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.1%15.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.86%45.14%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9%32.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.43%68.57%
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 53.8%
    Cardiff MU 23.39%
    Draw 22.81%
Bala TownDrawCardiff MU
2-1 @ 9.81%
1-0 @ 9.39%
2-0 @ 8.63%
3-1 @ 6.01%
3-0 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 3.42%
4-1 @ 2.76%
4-0 @ 2.43%
4-2 @ 1.57%
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 53.8%
1-1 @ 10.66%
2-2 @ 5.57%
0-0 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 6.06%
0-1 @ 5.8%
0-2 @ 3.3%
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 23.39%

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