Bala Town
1 - 3
Connah's Quay

Correia (1')
Spittle (34'), Smith (65'), Correia (76')
Spittle (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Horan (4'), Morris (67' pen.), Curran (85')
Poole (27'), Holmes (70'), Harrison (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Bala Town	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
34.11%	25.12%	40.77%

Both teams to score 56.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.44%

46.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.17%

68.83%

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.67%

26.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.54%

61.46%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.28%

22.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.61%

56.4%

Score Analysis

Bala Town 34.11%

Connah's Quay Nomads 40.77%

Draw 25.12%

Bala Town	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 7.98% 2-1 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 5.33% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.25% Total : 34.11%	1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 5.98% 2-2 @ 5.85% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.12%	0-1 @ 8.87% 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-2 @ 6.57% 1-3 @ 4.33% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.23% Total : 40.77%