Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Druids had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Druids win it was 1-0 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
