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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
May 4, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
1 - 2
Connah's Quay

Wharton (67')
Hutson (60'), Cotterill (78'), Cooper (80')
Cotterill (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morris (76' pen.), Curran (78')
Davies (64'), Disney (87')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 62.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 17.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 0-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 2-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
17.44%20.15%62.4%
Both teams to score 56.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.97%39.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.65%61.35%
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.26%35.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.49%72.51%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.02%11.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.6%37.4%
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 17.44%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 62.4%
    Draw 20.16%
Barry Town UnitedDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 4.81%
1-0 @ 4.41%
2-0 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 1.75%
3-1 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 17.44%
1-1 @ 9.35%
2-2 @ 5.1%
0-0 @ 4.28%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.16%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-2 @ 9.64%
0-1 @ 9.08%
1-3 @ 7.02%
0-3 @ 6.82%
1-4 @ 3.72%
0-4 @ 3.62%
2-3 @ 3.61%
2-4 @ 1.92%
1-5 @ 1.58%
0-5 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 62.4%

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