New Saints
1 - 4
Connah's Quay

Brobbel (24')
Redmond (32'), Spender (35'), Cieslewicz (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Wilde (8', 30', 45'), Insall (58')
Horan (25'), Poole (34')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
The New Saints	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
46.08%	25.08%	28.84%

Both teams to score 54.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.58%

48.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.44%

70.56%

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.96%

21.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.16%

53.84%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.27%

30.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.01%

66.99%

Score Analysis

The New Saints 46.08%

Connah's Quay Nomads 28.84%

Draw 25.08%

The New Saints	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 10.07% 2-1 @ 9.27% 2-0 @ 7.86% 3-1 @ 4.82% 3-0 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.57% Total : 46.08%	1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 7.63% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 4.5% 1-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.01% Total : 28.84%