Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
