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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Apr 20, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside Stadium
BT

Connah's Quay
2 - 0
Bala Town

Poole (86'), Horan (89')
Hunt (11'), Disney (56'), Morris (68'), Edwards (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Correia (27'), (82')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Bala Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBala Town
50.14%24.73%25.13%
Both teams to score 52.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.51%49.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.47%71.53%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25%19.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.21%51.79%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.8%34.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.1%70.9%
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 50.13%
    Bala Town 25.13%
    Draw 24.72%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBala Town
1-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 9.53%
2-0 @ 8.89%
3-1 @ 5.15%
3-0 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 2.77%
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 1.95%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 50.13%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 6.76%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 7.25%
1-2 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 3.89%
1-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 25.13%

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