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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 28, 2020 at 1.30pm UK
Deeside Stadium

Connah's Quay
3 - 1
Barry

Wilde (11'), Poole (37'), Edwards (70')
Horan (22'), Farquharson (33'), Morris (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cotterill (9')
Jarvis (33'), Green (43')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Barry Town United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 15.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBarry Town United
63.55%21%15.44%
Both teams to score 49.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.46%46.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.18%68.82%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02%13.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.52%41.48%
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.23%42.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.9%79.1%
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 63.54%
    Barry Town United 15.44%
    Draw 21%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBarry Town United
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-0 @ 11.57%
2-1 @ 9.83%
3-0 @ 7.59%
3-1 @ 6.45%
4-0 @ 3.74%
4-1 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.74%
5-0 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.35%
5-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 63.54%
1-1 @ 9.99%
0-0 @ 5.98%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 21%
0-1 @ 5.08%
1-2 @ 4.24%
0-2 @ 2.16%
1-3 @ 1.2%
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 15.44%


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