SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 70.24%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-3 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Briton Ferry win it was 2-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Briton Ferry | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
12.8% ( 0.07) | 16.96% ( 0.03) | 70.24% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.39% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.36% ( 0) | 33.64% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.54% ( 0) | 55.46% ( 0) |
| Briton Ferry Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.67% ( 0.1) | 38.33% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.91% ( 0.09) | 75.09% ( -0.09) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.44% ( -0.02) | 8.56% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 70.4% ( -0.05) | 29.59% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Briton Ferry | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 2-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 12.8% | 1-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.28% 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.96% | 0-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 8.12% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 7.79% ( -0)0-4 @ 4.99% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.3% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.13% ( 0)0-6 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)1-6 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 70.24% |
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