SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 15.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Briton Ferry win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Briton Ferry |
66.55% ( -0.22) | 18.23% ( 0.16) | 15.22% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.48% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.84% ( -0.66) | 34.16% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.95% ( -0.75) | 56.05% ( 0.75) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.47% ( -0.23) | 9.53% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.06% ( -0.55) | 31.93% ( 0.54) |
| Briton Ferry Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.64% ( -0.35) | 35.36% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.88% ( -0.37) | 72.12% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Briton Ferry |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.13)1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.56% Total : 66.55% | 1-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.23% | 1-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 15.22% |
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