Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.