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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Apr 10, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
0 - 1
Barry


Cleworth (5'), Kenny (27'), Thomas (54'), Edwards (61'), Jones (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hutson (90+2')
McDonald (53'), McLaggon (77')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Barry Town United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawBarry Town United
40.3%24.75%34.95%
Both teams to score 58.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.31%44.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95%67.05%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.86%22.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.48%55.52%
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05%24.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.41%59.59%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 40.3%
    Barry Town United 34.95%
    Draw 24.74%
Caernarfon TownDrawBarry Town United
2-1 @ 8.72%
1-0 @ 8.33%
2-0 @ 6.28%
3-1 @ 4.38%
3-0 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 3.04%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.19%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 40.3%
1-1 @ 11.56%
2-2 @ 6.05%
0-0 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.74%
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-1 @ 7.67%
0-2 @ 5.32%
1-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 2.46%
1-4 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 34.95%

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