Caernarfon
1 - 1
Newtown

Bradley (34')
Williams (13'), Mendes (59'), Hayes (77'), Bradley (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Breese (84')
O'Neill (31')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Newtown AFC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 53.36%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 23.68% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Newtown AFC
53.36%	22.96%	23.68%

Both teams to score 56.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.79%

43.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.39%

65.62%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.83%

16.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.36%

45.64%

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.97%

32.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.5%

68.5%

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 53.36%

Newtown AFC 23.68%

Draw 22.96%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Newtown AFC
2-1 @ 9.79% 1-0 @ 9.44% 2-0 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 5.94% 3-0 @ 5.22% 3-2 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 2.71% 4-0 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.54% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.38% Total : 53.36%	1-1 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 5.57% 0-0 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.96%	1-2 @ 6.12% 0-1 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 3.36% 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.6% Total : 23.68%