Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 56.2%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 21.99% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.