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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Mar 13, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
1 - 0
Aberystwyth

Jarvis (87')
Bird (60'), Patten (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

J (41'), Jones (70'), Jenkins (79')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Aberystwyth Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 56.2%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 21.99% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawAberystwyth Town
56.2%21.81%21.99%
Both teams to score 58.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.11%39.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.75%62.25%
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.92%14.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.32%41.68%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.33%31.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.92%68.08%
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 56.2%
    Aberystwyth Town 21.99%
    Draw 21.81%
Barry Town UnitedDrawAberystwyth Town
2-1 @ 9.85%
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-0 @ 8.57%
3-1 @ 6.44%
3-0 @ 5.6%
3-2 @ 3.7%
4-1 @ 3.16%
4-0 @ 2.75%
4-2 @ 1.82%
5-1 @ 1.24%
5-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 56.2%
1-1 @ 10.05%
2-2 @ 5.67%
0-0 @ 4.46%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 5.78%
0-1 @ 5.13%
0-2 @ 2.95%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 21.99%

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