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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2
Apr 20, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
0 - 2
New Saints


Malandjou (11'), Edwards (25')
Edwards (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Draper (67'), Hudson (84')
Hudson (13'), Harrington (76')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and The New Saints.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 73.46%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 10.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-3 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.62%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-0 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for The New Saints in this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawThe New Saints
10.36%16.18%73.46%
Both teams to score 50.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.12%36.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.93%59.06%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.35%44.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.35%80.65%
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.35%8.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.17%29.83%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 10.36%
    The New Saints 73.46%
    Draw 16.18%
Caernarfon TownDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 3.11%
2-1 @ 3.07%
2-0 @ 1.26%
3-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 10.36%
1-1 @ 7.62%
0-0 @ 3.86%
2-2 @ 3.76%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 16.18%
0-2 @ 11.57%
0-1 @ 9.45%
0-3 @ 9.44%
1-2 @ 9.33%
1-3 @ 7.61%
0-4 @ 5.78%
1-4 @ 4.66%
2-3 @ 3.07%
0-5 @ 2.83%
1-5 @ 2.28%
2-4 @ 1.88%
0-6 @ 1.15%
1-6 @ 0.93%
2-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 73.46%

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