Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 73.46%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 10.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-3 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.62%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-0 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for The New Saints in this match.
