Bala Town
5 - 2
Caernarfon

Venables (20', 89'), Spittle (57'), Evans (69', 90+3')
Evans (14'), Venables (35'), Spittle (45+2'), A (45+2'), A (45+3')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Bickerstaff (33'), Hayes (45+2' pen.)
Edwards (36'), M (56')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 19.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 1-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala Town	Draw	Caernarfon Town
60.41%	20.41%	19.18%

Both teams to score 59.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.73%

37.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.52%

59.48%

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.01%

11.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.57%

37.43%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.18%

32.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.61%

69.39%

Score Analysis

Bala Town 60.41%

Caernarfon Town 19.18%

Draw 20.41%

Bala Town	Draw	Caernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 8.85% 1-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 6.97% 3-0 @ 6.26% 3-2 @ 3.88% 4-1 @ 3.7% 4-0 @ 3.32% 4-2 @ 2.06% 5-1 @ 1.57% 5-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 4.18% Total : 60.41%	1-1 @ 9.3% 2-2 @ 5.49% 0-0 @ 3.94% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.41%	1-2 @ 5.18% 0-1 @ 4.39% 0-2 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.3% Total : 19.18%