SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 77.64%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 8.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.93%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.46%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 2-1 (2.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | The New Saints |
8.45% ( -1.95) | 13.91% ( -1.72) | 77.64% ( 3.67) |
| Both teams to score 51.41% ( -1.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.2% ( 2.14) | 31.8% ( -2.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.67% ( 2.46) | 53.33% ( -2.46) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.05% ( -2.42) | 44.95% ( 2.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.11% ( -2) | 80.89% ( 2) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.38% ( 1.22) | 6.61% ( -1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 75.42% ( 3.2) | 24.58% ( -3.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | The New Saints |
| 2-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.52) 1-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.47)2-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.19)Other @ 1.61% Total : 8.45% | 1-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.8) 2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.44)0-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.36)Other @ 0.97% Total : 13.91% | 0-2 @ 10.96% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 9.93% ( 0.75)1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.47)0-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.41)1-3 @ 7.94% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 6.74% ( 0.9)1-4 @ 5.39% ( 0.4)0-5 @ 3.66% ( 0.69)2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.18)1-5 @ 2.93% ( 0.38)2-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)0-6 @ 1.66% ( 0.39)1-6 @ 1.33% ( 0.25)2-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.77% Total : 77.63% |
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