SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 92.96%. A draw had a probability of 5.3% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 1.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.28%) and 2-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.52%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (0.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Cardiff MU |
92.96% ( -0.12) | 5.3% ( 0.12) | 1.74% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 35.84% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.29% ( -1.07) | 20.71% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.9% ( -1.53) | 39.1% ( 1.53) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.68% ( -0.14) | 2.31% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 88.97% ( -0.55) | 11.02% ( 0.55) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.69% ( -1.21) | 63.31% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.75% ( -0.56) | 92.25% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 3-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.42) 4-0 @ 12.28% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.5)5-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.15)1-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.36)2-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.18)7-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.11)6-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.16)8-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.08)7-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.82% Total : 92.95% | 1-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 5.3% | Other @ 1.74% Total : 1.74% |
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