SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 91.34%. A draw had a probability of 6.2% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 2.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (10.84%) and 0-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.87%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 2-1 (0.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | The New Saints |
2.48% ( -0.1) | 6.18% ( -0.25) | 91.34% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 43% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 80.61% ( 0.88) | 19.39% ( -0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 62.78% ( 1.27) | 37.21% ( -1.27) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.04% ( 0.28) | 55.96% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.55% ( 0.16) | 88.45% ( -0.16) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.64% ( 0.16) | 2.36% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 88.81% ( 0.59) | 11.19% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | The New Saints |
| Other @ 2.48% Total : 2.48% | 1-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.43% Total : 6.18% | 0-3 @ 11.57% ( -0.2) 0-4 @ 10.84% 0-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.33)0-5 @ 8.13% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 6.72% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 6.3% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.14)0-6 @ 5.08% ( 0.18)0-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.27)1-5 @ 4.72% ( 0.12)1-6 @ 2.95% ( 0.13)0-7 @ 2.72% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.95% 2-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)1-7 @ 1.58% ( 0.09)2-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.05)0-8 @ 1.27% ( 0.09)Other @ 4.74% Total : 91.33% |
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