SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 79.34%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 7.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-2 (2.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Cardiff MU |
79.34% ( 0.03) | 12.99% ( -0.02) | 7.66% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.33% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.98% ( 0.04) | 30.01% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.79% ( 0.05) | 51.2% ( -0.05) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.07% ( 0.01) | 5.92% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.33% ( 0.04) | 22.66% ( -0.04) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.56% ( -0) | 45.43% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.72% | 81.27% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 2-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.99% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.64% ( 0)5-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.15% 4-2 @ 2.23% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.5% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 4.31% Total : 79.32% | 1-1 @ 6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.35% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 12.99% | 1-2 @ 2.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.12% ( -0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 7.66% |
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