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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 27, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
 

Haverfordwest
1 - 4
Connah's Quay

Pemberton (33')
Jones (24'), Keetch (69'), Fawcett (70'), (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Curran (10', 51'), Edwards (53'), Poole (73')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
24.2%24.54%51.26%
Both teams to score 52.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.49%49.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.46%71.54%
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.98%35.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.24%71.76%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69%19.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.93%51.07%
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 24.2%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 51.25%
    Draw 24.53%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 7.1%
2-1 @ 6.12%
2-0 @ 3.72%
3-1 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.76%
3-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 24.2%
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 6.76%
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 11.11%
1-2 @ 9.6%
0-2 @ 9.14%
1-3 @ 5.26%
0-3 @ 5.01%
2-3 @ 2.76%
1-4 @ 2.16%
0-4 @ 2.06%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 51.25%


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