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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 29, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
4 - 1
Druids

Edwards (37'), Mitchell (47'), Rushton (67' pen., 73')
(59'), (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cartwright (19')
(67'), (67')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Druids.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Druids had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Druids win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawDruids
44.14%25.25%30.61%
Both teams to score 55.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.73%48.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.58%70.42%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15%21.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.91%55.08%
Druids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59%29.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.6%65.4%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 44.14%
    Druids 30.61%
    Draw 25.25%
Newtown AFCDrawDruids
1-0 @ 9.77%
2-1 @ 9.1%
2-0 @ 7.43%
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-0 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.14%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 6.43%
2-2 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.87%
1-2 @ 7.32%
0-2 @ 4.81%
1-3 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.96%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.61%


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