Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Druids had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Druids win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.