New Saints
4 - 1
Aberystwyth

Ebbe (4'), Draper (64', 84', 89')
Cieslewicz (30'), Holland (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hewitt (34')
Evans (25'), J (55'), Davies (61')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Aberystwyth Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 74.76%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 9.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.34%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New Saints	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
74.76%	15.92%	9.32%

Both teams to score 47.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.02%

38.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.69%

61.31%

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.13%

8.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.63%

30.36%

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.85%

48.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.66%

83.34%

Score Analysis

The New Saints 74.74%

Aberystwyth Town 9.32%

Draw 15.92%

The New Saints	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 12.53% 1-0 @ 10.34% 3-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.16% 3-1 @ 7.4% 4-0 @ 6.13% 4-1 @ 4.48% 5-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.7% 5-1 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 1.64% 6-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.9% Total : 74.74%	1-1 @ 7.56% 0-0 @ 4.27% 2-2 @ 3.35% Other @ 0.74% Total : 15.92%	0-1 @ 3.12% 1-2 @ 2.76% 0-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.3% Total : 9.32%