Bala Town
5 - 2
Aberystwyth

Evans (39'), Smith (44'), Venables (57' pen., 60'), Correia (82')
Stephens (67'), Peate (76')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Williams (24'), Hewitt (68' pen.)
(67')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Aberystwyth Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 51.86%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala Town	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
51.86%	23.58%	24.56%

Both teams to score 55.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.92%

45.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.57%

67.43%

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.61%

17.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.18%

47.82%

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.71%

32.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.21%

68.79%

Score Analysis

Bala Town 51.86%

Aberystwyth Town 24.56%

Draw 23.57%

Bala Town	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 9.83% 2-1 @ 9.71% 2-0 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 5.66% 3-0 @ 5.01% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.48% 4-0 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.79% Total : 51.86%	1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 5.62% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.57%	0-1 @ 6.35% 1-2 @ 6.28% 0-2 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.56% Total : 24.56%